Predicting Outcomes Is Not Our Job

A part of this article reflects a part of my heart. Its been on my mind and sadly as I am too far detached from their world, I still feel my fellow journos in states could have done better. There has never been an embarrassing moment for journalism than the post-US 2016 election days we find ourselves in. If words like ‘polls’ and ‘ratings’ have ever been thrown around pretending to somewhat predict the future, we stand dampened by our own words and calculations and asking ourselves a million times the same question, how did Trump win this one?

So far no one who put out a poll has come out to apologise in having got it wrong, I guess because journalists own the space they right in and so don’t really have to apologise. We simply write about something else for a change while we shy from exposing ourselves on how we made the wrong predictions. I can gladly say ‘we’ in this context because I too was convinced that the great news anchors and reporters in the world, I gladly look up to, made such mistake.

I blogged here the other day on my disgust over Trump as a candidate and I am sadly eating humble pie. Well at least it was just my opinion. Statistics are what puzzle me, how and who where they where derived from leaves me dumbfounded. How could the whole world eagerly wait for a Hillary Clinton win only to wake up to horrible realisation that Trump had done the seemingly impossible task considering the amount of reporting against his win.

Meanwhile in Nigeria, a prophet saw the outcome of the elections, or wait; maybe he took a look at the polls one morning and decided to run with them to his synagogue. I am sure his business is reeling on the aftermath and we all know God did not give him that vision now. I’m just saying, now we know!

Journalists tend to cultivate winners of any election, we like to be right and in turn convince the masses on what route to take in their lives. For once showed the world showed us that they really don’t care about what we report about. That it is all about what they truly believe inside that counts and not the numbers and figures. Which is a cause for concern for a journalist when your audience simply rubbishes your effort and slant and listens to their inner voice or maybe in this case, their candidate. I am trying to think of the next best course of action after such a failure but my mind is blank, because this never happens.

American and European journalists are the best in the business, well at least we thought before Donald won. Since the 1700s there have been peddling news and articles before we, down here in Africa picked up the trade. While I strongly there still are the best in the business, one is persuaded to disagree. How could they have missed on such a huge spectacle and in turn render themselves amateurs? Don’t wait on an answer for that one, on the next paragraph..

That said I must quickly place a disclaimer on how confusing the American political arena and that I have no intention to try and grasp it. I will leave it to them. To date there are still many unanswered questions on the election and to be quite honest I don’t need them answered, let bygones be.

I will let you read the article above, I guess it says it all for I fear diluting the brew..


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